Post-processing rainfall forecasts from numerical weather prediction models for short-term streamflow forecasting

Evaluation of numerical weather prediction model precipitation forecasts for short-term streamflow forecasting purp se

The quality of precipitation forecasts from four Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models is evaluated over the Ovens catchment in Southeast Australia. Precipitation forecasts are compared with observed precipitation at point and catchment scales and at different temporal resolutions. The four models evaluated are the Australian Community Climate Earth-System Simulator (ACCESS) including ACCES...

Short-term Prediction of Weather Parameters Using Online Weather Forecasts

While people need to know tomorrow’s weather to decide suitable activities and precautions, so do the “intelligent” building management systems. The accuracy of the short-term prediction of the ambient conditions is particularly import for the development of predictive control strategies. Although the shortterm prediction methods for outside air temperature have been extensively studied, reliab...

Short-Term Weather Forecasting

Forecasting wave height probabilities with numerical weather prediction models

Operational weather forecasts now allow two week probabilistic forecasts of wave height. This paper discusses methods for generating such forecasts from numerical model output from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting Ensemble Prediction System. The ECMWF system produces Monte Carlo style forecasts of wave statistics out to a lead time of 10 days. This ensemble of forecasts ...

Short term gust forecasting by using numerical weather prediction and multi timescale nonparametric regression model

In this study, an ARX model with nonparametric multi time scale regression model was proposed for short term gust forecasting and applied to a ski resort in Japan. Proposed ARX model can be used for short term forecasting of mean and fluctuating wind speed. Proposed nonparametric multi time scale regression model can appropriately estimate the peak factor and shows better agreement with the mea...